The term "Market Timing" has recently been spinning in the news. You deserve some simple truth about the subject, and how it has been used to manipulate and confuse public perception in the area of investments.
The definitions for "market timing" given in the news media are mostly wrong and misleading. These false news media definitions, for what is a precise term, are spoon-fed to the media by both the SEC and the major investment firms so as to encourage ignorance and confusion for investors. It is really securities industry propaganda designed to scare investors away from what works in their effort to shunt the public to more costly investment "products".
"Market Timing" is simply defined as a means of buying low, and/or selling high according to a scientific method. That science is both mathematical, and somewhat psychological. The concept has nothing whatsoever to do with
time of day, unethical late trading, or mutual funds, or any such manipulated SEC/media
tales. Classic, honest, ruthless Market Timing is the selling of a over-valued investments into unsustainable strength, and the buying at irrational weakness.
The competitive reality is that Market Timing is the mainstay lifeblood of the largest investment sales firms, who's traders seek to buy low from you at market timing points, and to sell at high prices to you at high market timing points. It works for them, and they simply don't want you to know it can also work for you. They mix it with criminality, or with other acts which are wrong, just to throw you off or create confusion.
Take a recent public letter from Fidelity Investments, for example. Examine it critically respecting Market Timing.
Edward C Johnson 3d.PDF
"Market Timing -
Quickly trading in and out of mutual fund shares in an attempt to make
a fast profit -- at the expense of other fund shareholders."
Since when did the concept of "market timing' become redefined by the mutual fund industry? What is wrong, or illegal, with "a fast profit"? Mr. Johnson seeks to create stigma about market timing through direct association and confusion with illegal and unethical institutional practices which are not even available to the common investor, and to publicly distance his Fidelity from the very concept of short term trading.
However, Fidelity makes money in its own funds using Market Timing techniques! In fact, Fidelity wants to MAKE SURE FIDELITY INVESTORS, CANNOT BENEFIT, when it boldly states in the above document that: "short-term redemption fees could be beefed up and applied to those funds that are targets of market timers".
Fidelity is as insincere as can be for any common investor seeking to play the same profitable game as "the big boys"....and it is just one example of how these firms underestimate your personal intelligence. Fidelity advances a deceit by stating "All Fidelity Funds Now No Load". What they don't bother mentioning are their stiff fees for exiting their funds before a "minimum" holding period! No, Fidelity does NOT want its investors to benefit from Market Timing! Will the SEC ever prosecute this deceit? Fat chance...the SEC is run by the investment industry itself.
Market Timing itself is simply about selling high, and buying low, or standing aside when there is too much risk or uncertainty about which direction the market wants to go. We competed honestly in that arena. All investors have the right to do that, and that is the simple, all-up-front service we offered to every investor.
Mark Shinnick , January 2006
MARKET TIMING SYSTEMS, INC.
Tel. (559) 440-9248 Fax (559) 440-9348
Internet: www.mastertimer.com
© 2006, Market Timing Systems, Inc.
© 2006, Market Timing Systems, Inc. No part of this website may be reproduced by any commercial entity without express written permission.
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